Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novi Pazar v Mladost Lucani — Team-Based Signals
Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Novi Pazar
SIRP
1-3
HT 1-1
Novi Pazar
SIRP
Novi Pazar 1-0 Mladost Lucani — Actual Match Statistics
Novi Pazar nicked a narrow win over Mladost Lucani 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Novi Pazar as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Novi Pazar had 55% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 45%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.21 to 1.63.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.00 for Mladost Lucani.
What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani?
Novi Pazar 1-0 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani?
Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 44%, draw 27%, Mladost Lucani 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novi Pazar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.