Mura 1-1 NK Bravo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Bravo EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.45/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.18
+13% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
295 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
0W-3D-3L
AWAY NK Bravo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 NK Bravo NK Bravo 2-0 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
28.04.2025 NK Bravo NK Bravo 1-1 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
02.03.2025 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-1 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
03.11.2024 NK Bravo NK Bravo 2-1 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
17.08.2024 Mura Mura 2-3 HT 1-3 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
12.05.2024 NK Bravo NK Bravo 1-1 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
1-1
AWAY NK Bravo
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mura vs NK Bravo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mura and NK Bravo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was NK Bravo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mura had 48% of the ball to NK Bravo's 52%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Bravo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mura and 1.67 for NK Bravo.

What was the final score of Mura vs NK Bravo?

Mura 1-1 NK Bravo in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs NK Bravo?

Before kick-off our model rated an NK Bravo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mura 33%, draw 25%, NK Bravo 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NK Bravo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NK Bravo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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