Maribor 3-0 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.3
2-3 Goals
36%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.53
6+ Goals
14%
5.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
69%
-1.4pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.8pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
2.48/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.01
+14% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Domzale
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2025 Domzale Domzale 1-2 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
06.04.2025 Domzale Domzale 1-0 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
01.02.2025 Maribor Maribor 2-1 HT 2-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
29.09.2024 Domzale Domzale 0-3 HT 0-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
21.07.2024 Maribor Maribor 4-1 HT 2-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
27.04.2024 Domzale Domzale 1-1 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
3-0
AWAY Domzale
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor cruised past Domzale 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Maribor had 59% of the ball to Domzale's 41%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maribor and 0.83 for Domzale.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Domzale?

Maribor 3-0 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Maribor 67%, draw 18%, Domzale 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
4 Oct 2025
18:30 Mura vs NK Bravo Analysis →