Domzale 1-0 Maribor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
50%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
8.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.1pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.6pp
50%
Away Win
67%
-16.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Maribor EU Bookmakers 71%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -23%
0.59/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.06
-42% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -25%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Maribor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Maribor Maribor 2-1 HT 2-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
29.09.2024 Domzale Domzale 0-3 HT 0-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
21.07.2024 Maribor Maribor 4-1 HT 2-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
27.04.2024 Domzale Domzale 1-1 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
02.03.2024 Maribor Maribor 3-0 HT 2-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
04.11.2023 Domzale Domzale 1-2 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
1-0
AWAY Maribor
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Domzale vs Maribor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Domzale squeezed past Maribor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Maribor at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Domzale had 42% of the ball to Maribor's 58%, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Domzale and 2.50 for Maribor.

What was the final score of Domzale vs Maribor?

Domzale 1-0 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs Maribor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Domzale 24%, draw 26%, Maribor 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maribor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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