Domzale 0-3 Maribor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
50%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.06
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
50%
Away Win
60%
-10.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Maribor EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
0.96/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.99
-8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Maribor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2024 Maribor Maribor 4-1 HT 2-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
27.04.2024 Domzale Domzale 1-1 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
02.03.2024 Maribor Maribor 3-0 HT 2-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
04.11.2023 Domzale Domzale 1-2 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
26.08.2023 Maribor Maribor 1-1 HT 1-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
22.04.2023 Maribor Maribor 1-0 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
0-3
AWAY Maribor
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Domzale vs Maribor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor cruised past Domzale 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Domzale had 35% of the ball to Maribor's 65%, shots finished 6-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Domzale and 2.00 for Maribor.

What was the final score of Domzale vs Maribor?

Domzale 0-3 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs Maribor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Domzale 24%, draw 26%, Maribor 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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