Maribor 2-1 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
2.73
6+ Goals
13%
7.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-9.0pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.6pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +24%
2.47/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.87
+23% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +10%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Domzale
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Domzale Domzale 0-3 HT 0-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
21.07.2024 Maribor Maribor 4-1 HT 2-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
27.04.2024 Domzale Domzale 1-1 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
02.03.2024 Maribor Maribor 3-0 HT 2-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
04.11.2023 Domzale Domzale 1-2 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
26.08.2023 Maribor Maribor 1-1 HT 1-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
2-1
AWAY Domzale
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor nicked a narrow win over Domzale 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Maribor had 56% of the ball to Domzale's 44%, shots finished 23-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Maribor and 0.67 for Domzale.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Domzale?

Maribor 2-1 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Maribor 63%, draw 21%, Domzale 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5
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