Houston Dynamo 1-1 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.47
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.06
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
17%
4.56
X/2
10%
6.7
X/X
11%
3.97
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
14%
5.27
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.58/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.32
-5% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
19.0 Crosses 17.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 1.43
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
364 Passes 445
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
29.09.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-0 HT 1-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
20.06.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-2 HT 2-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
02.07.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
14.05.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-1 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
05.09.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-1 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
1-1
AWAY Seattle Sounders
1.62 xG 0.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 8
409 Passes 365
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo and Seattle Sounders shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 53% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 47%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.62 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seattle Sounders led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Houston Dynamo and 1.17 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders?

Houston Dynamo 1-1 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 40%, draw 26%, Seattle Sounders 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Houston Dynamo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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