New York Red Bulls 2-2 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
13%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.3
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
17%
5.4
X/2
12%
6.12
X/X
11%
4.99
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
21%
3.94
2/X
8%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +18%
1.23/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.39
-23% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
19.0 Crosses 13.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.94 xG 1.16
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
213 Passes 521
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-1 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
20.10.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-3 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
17.03.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
02.07.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
19.03.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-1 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
02.10.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
2-2
AWAY Columbus Crew
2.06 xG 2.14
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
205 Passes 451
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls and Columbus Crew couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 36% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 64%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 2.06 to 2.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.83 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew?

New York Red Bulls 2-2 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated an Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 37%, draw 25%, Columbus Crew 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Columbus Crew) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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