Seattle Sounders 1-0 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
3.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 24% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.5
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
14%
4.24
X/2
10%
7.9
X/X
10%
4.93
2/1
14%
24.0
2/2
9%
5.93
2/X
9%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +15%
1.59/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.61
-20% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
22.0 Crosses 14.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seattle Sounders
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.44 xG 1.13
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
464 Passes 318
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-2 HT 2-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
02.07.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
14.05.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-1 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
05.09.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-1 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
19.05.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-1 HT 0-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
17.10.2021 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-1 HT 2-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seattle Sounders
1-0
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.30 xG 0.26
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
335 Passes 597
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
24 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seattle Sounders squeezed past Houston Dynamo 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Seattle Sounders as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Seattle Sounders had 38% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 62%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.30 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seattle Sounders had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Seattle Sounders and 0.83 for Houston Dynamo.

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?

Seattle Sounders 1-0 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 46%, draw 28%, Houston Dynamo 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seattle Sounders), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
29 Sep 2024
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC Analysis →
02:30 DC United vs Columbus Crew Analysis →
02:30 CF Montreal vs San Jose Earthquakes Analysis →
02:30 New England Revolution vs Nashville SC Analysis →
02:30 Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United Analysis →
02:30 Inter Miami vs Charlotte Analysis →