Houston Dynamo 2-2 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
18.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 30% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.62
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
17%
4.17
X/2
8%
7.55
X/X
14%
4.54
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
13%
5.97
2/X
6%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.55/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.31
-6% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.0 Crosses 17.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.71 xG 1.63
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
304 Passes 464
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.07.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
14.05.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-1 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
05.09.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-1 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
19.05.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-1 HT 0-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
17.10.2021 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-1 HT 2-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
08.07.2021 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
2-2
AWAY Seattle Sounders
3.16 xG 1.04
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
473 Passes 349
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
41 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo and Seattle Sounders couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Houston Dynamo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 57% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 43%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 3.16 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seattle Sounders led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Houston Dynamo and 1.33 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders?

Houston Dynamo 2-2 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 46%, draw 25%, Seattle Sounders 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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