Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +7%
1.50/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.15
+24% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
21.7 Crosses 17.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Monagas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.44 xG 1.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
285 Passes 233
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.08.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 HT 2-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
02.03.2024 Monagas Monagas 3-2 HT 1-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
19.08.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
19.03.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
02.07.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
21.05.2022 Monagas Monagas 2-2 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
2-0
AWAY Monagas
1.09 xG 0.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
250 Passes 234
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 37
9 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes De Merida got the better of Monagas 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Estudiantes De Merida made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 50% of the ball to Monagas's 50%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.09 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.50 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Monagas?

Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 38%, draw 24%, Monagas 38%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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