LDU Quito 0-1 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 4 Nov 2025

📅04/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.9
Over
38%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.97
No
58%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
37%
4-5
16%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec The Market 18%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.48/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-32% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
371 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Emelec
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.53 xG 0.93
57% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 Passes 237
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
17.03.2025 Emelec Emelec 1-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
03.11.2024 Emelec Emelec 0-1 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
12.05.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-2 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
23.10.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
15.05.2023 Emelec Emelec 1-1 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
REVIEW LDU Quito vs Emelec
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Emelec found just enough to beat LDU Quito 1-0 away from home.

We leaned LDU Quito at 54% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The market had leaned harder still (1.49, ~67%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came home.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for LDU Quito against 0.67 for Emelec.

LDU Quito vs Emelec Result & Final Score

LDU Quito 0-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Cup on 04/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

LDU Quito vs Emelec Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 54%, draw 28%, Emelec 18%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (LDU Quito) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →