Glentoran FC 2-1 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 4 Nov 2025

📅04/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.47
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.29
6+ Goals
13%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 25% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 17%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
4.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/4.00
+91% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / -35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Crusaders FC
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.10.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
23.08.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
12.04.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
22.03.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
14.01.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 4-2 HT 2-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRLK
13.12.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-3 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC squeezed past Crusaders FC 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Glentoran FC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Glentoran FC and 1.00 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Crusaders FC?

Glentoran FC 2-1 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - League Cup on 04/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 58%, draw 24%, Crusaders FC 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glentoran FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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