Famalicao U23 1-3 Leixoes U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 4 Nov 2025

📅04/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.03
Over
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No Pick
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
39%
4-5
23%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.3pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes U23 The Market 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.31/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/2.81
-38% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Leixoes U23
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2025 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 3-2 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 UŞGA
18.12.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-1 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 UŞGA
02.10.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 0-3 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 UŞGA
05.12.2023 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 3-2 HT 1-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
19.09.2023 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-2 HT 0-1 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
1-3
AWAY Leixoes U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Leixoes U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes U23 saw off Famalicao U23 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Famalicao U23 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 55% of the ball to Leixoes U23's 45%, shots finished 10-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Famalicao U23 and 1.40 for Leixoes U23.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Famalicao U23 1-3 Leixoes U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 04/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 46%, draw 28%, Leixoes U23 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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