Cultural Leonesa 1-2 Almeria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.6pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria EU Bookmakers 45%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.74/2.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.73/1.00
+55% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 80%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.7 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural Leonesa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Almeria
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
416 Passes 265
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
24.02.2018 Almeria Almeria 2-1 HT 2-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS2
29.09.2017 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 0-0 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural Leonesa
1-2
AWAY Almeria
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
62 Passes 96
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs Almeria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria nicked a narrow win over Cultural Leonesa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Almeria as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Cultural Leonesa had 49% of the ball to Almeria's 51%, shots finished 14-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Almeria led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cultural Leonesa and 1.00 for Almeria.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs Almeria?

Cultural Leonesa 1-2 Almeria in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs Almeria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 27%, draw 27%, Almeria 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almeria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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