Ourense CF 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.0pp
45%
Away Win
45%
+0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.67
-10% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -34%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
241 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ourense CF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
23.07.2024 Ourense CF Ourense CF 0-4 HT 0-3 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
1-0
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
34 Passes 137
71% Pass Accuracy 88%
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF squeezed past Deportivo La Coruna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Coruna at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ourense CF had 40% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 60%, shots finished 4-7.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Ourense CF 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 30%, draw 24%, Deportivo La Coruna 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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