Unionistas de Salamanca 2-3 Rayo Vallecano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
24%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.0pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unionistas de Salamanca EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 55%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.60/0.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.62
+12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +128%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
219 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
18.0 Crosses 24.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unionistas de Salamanca
2-3
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
1.48 xG 0.79
35% Ball Possession 65%
18 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 3
184 Passes 434
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Unionistas de Salamanca vs Rayo Vallecano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Vallecano nicked a narrow win over Unionistas de Salamanca 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rayo Vallecano as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Unionistas de Salamanca had 35% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 65%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.48 to 0.79 — the balance of chances actually favoured Unionistas de Salamanca.

What was the final score of Unionistas de Salamanca vs Rayo Vallecano?

Unionistas de Salamanca 2-3 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unionistas de Salamanca vs Rayo Vallecano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Unionistas de Salamanca 26%, draw 26%, Rayo Vallecano 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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