Gimnastic Tarragona 0-1 Huesca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.0pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.3pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Huesca EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.46/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.41
+20% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
232 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.8 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 8.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Huesca
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
279 Passes 303
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2022 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 2-2 HT 0-2 Huesca Huesca HAZ
27.05.2018 Huesca Huesca 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
23.12.2017 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-2 HT 0-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
28.01.2017 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 0-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
28.08.2016 Huesca Huesca 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
10.04.2016 Huesca Huesca 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
0-1
AWAY Huesca
0.39 xG 0.39
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
252 Passes 182
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Huesca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huesca nicked a narrow win over Gimnastic Tarragona 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Huesca found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 57% of the ball to Huesca's 43%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.39 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huesca led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gimnastic Tarragona and 1.17 for Huesca.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Huesca?

Gimnastic Tarragona 0-1 Huesca in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Huesca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 39%, draw 25%, Huesca 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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