Racing Santander 1-0 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 32%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
2.28/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.27
+77% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
Crosses 15.5
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.58 xG 1.56
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
257 Passes 337
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
30.03.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-3 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
07.10.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 3-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
14.01.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
11.09.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-2 HT 0-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
16.02.2020 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
1-0
AWAY Sporting Gijon
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
5 Passes 0
71% Pass Accuracy
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander nicked a narrow win over Sporting Gijon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Racing Santander made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Racing Santander had 57% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 43%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Santander had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Racing Santander and 1.00 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?

Racing Santander 1-0 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 36%, draw 31%, Sporting Gijon 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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