Yverdon 0-2 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Cup, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
5.34
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
43%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
16%
+18.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
43%
Away Win
64%
-21.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 69%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
0.92/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-18% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -48%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
237 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Lugano
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.57 xG 2.70
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
295 Passes 464
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
20.10.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 2-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
16.03.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
25.11.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 0-5 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
13.08.2023 Lugano Lugano 6-1 HT 3-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
0-2
AWAY Lugano
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Yverdon vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano got the better of Yverdon 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lugano as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Yverdon had 39% of the ball to Lugano's 61%, shots finished 6-21.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lugano led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Yverdon and 3.00 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Yverdon vs Lugano?

Yverdon 0-2 Lugano in the Switzerland - Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yverdon vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 34%, draw 23%, Lugano 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lugano) ✗ Over 2.5
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