Lugano 2-0 Yverdon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.66
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.7
X/1
17%
3.64
X/2
7%
14.8
X/X
8%
7.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.8
2/2
9%
11.0
2/X
9%
19.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.8 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.5pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Yverdon EU Bookmakers 17%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.80/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.81
+15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
19.3 Crosses 11.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Yverdon
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
2.28 xG 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
432 Passes 294
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 2-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
16.03.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
25.11.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 0-5 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
13.08.2023 Lugano Lugano 6-1 HT 3-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
2-0
AWAY Yverdon
3.55 xG 0.72
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
528 Passes 299
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lugano vs Yverdon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano got the better of Yverdon 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lugano as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lugano had 61% of the ball to Yverdon's 39%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 3.55 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lugano had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Lugano and 0.75 for Yverdon.

What was the final score of Lugano vs Yverdon?

Lugano 2-0 Yverdon in the Switzerland - Super League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano vs Yverdon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Lugano 56%, draw 23%, Yverdon 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lugano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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