Luzern 2-0 Grasshoppers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.09
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.07
6+ Goals
9%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.54
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
18%
4.54
X/2
11%
7.78
X/X
11%
5.24
2/1
5%
22.7
2/2
12%
5.39
2/X
6%
13.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.66/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.54
-5% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.0 Crosses 17.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Grasshoppers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.72 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
344 Passes 274
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-2 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
10.05.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
24.02.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
05.11.2023 Luzern Luzern 2-0 HT 1-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
27.08.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
13.05.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-0 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
2-0
AWAY Grasshoppers
2.78 xG 0.80
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
222 Passes 379
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 27
6 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Luzern vs Grasshoppers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern beat Grasshoppers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Luzern as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Luzern had 39% of the ball to Grasshoppers's 61%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 2.78 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Luzern and 0.83 for Grasshoppers.

What was the final score of Luzern vs Grasshoppers?

Luzern 2-0 Grasshoppers in the Switzerland - Super League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern vs Grasshoppers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Luzern 50%, draw 22%, Grasshoppers 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luzern) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luzern) ✗ Over 2.5
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