Lausanne Sports 1-0 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
4.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.26 — our 25% vs market 18.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.34
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
12%
5.45
X/2
13%
5.93
X/X
11%
5.29
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
18%
3.74
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.51/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.29
+15% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
17.8 Crosses 20.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lausanne Sports
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Servette
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.88 xG 1.76
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
281 Passes 310
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Servette Servette 1-0 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
10.03.2024 Servette Servette 3-1 HT 1-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
09.12.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
30.09.2023 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
03.04.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 4-1 HT 1-0 Servette Servette İSV
05.02.2022 Servette Servette 1-0 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lausanne Sports
1-0
AWAY Servette
1.82 xG 0.54
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 12
288 Passes 335
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lausanne Sports vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lausanne Sports squeezed past Servette 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Lausanne Sports found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lausanne Sports had 45% of the ball to Servette's 55%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.82 to 0.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lausanne Sports's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lausanne Sports and 1.50 for Servette.

What was the final score of Lausanne Sports vs Servette?

Lausanne Sports 1-0 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lausanne Sports vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lausanne Sports 38%, draw 26%, Servette 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lausanne Sports) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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