Grasshoppers 2-2 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 29% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.64
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
14%
5.74
X/2
9%
5.73
X/X
10%
4.83
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
21%
3.64
2/X
11%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.21/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.36
+38% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
17.4 Crosses 19.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Luzern
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.90
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
269 Passes 351
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
24.02.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
05.11.2023 Luzern Luzern 2-0 HT 1-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
27.08.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
13.05.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-0 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
26.02.2023 Luzern Luzern 1-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
2-2
AWAY Luzern
0.73 xG 0.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 4
294 Passes 257
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 19
37 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grasshoppers and Luzern couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 55% of the ball to Luzern's 45%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.73 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.00 for Luzern.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Luzern?

Grasshoppers 2-2 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 36%, draw 28%, Luzern 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Luzern) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
27 Jul 2024
19:00 Sion vs Lausanne Sports Analysis →
21:30 Basel vs Lugano Analysis →