Basel vs Lugano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Basel v Lugano — Team-Based Signals
Basel vs Lugano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Basel
İSV
1-1
HT 1-0
Lugano
İSV
2-2
HT 2-0
Basel
İSV
Basel 1-2 Lugano — Actual Match Statistics
Lugano edged past Basel 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Basel at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Basel had 41% of the ball to Lugano's 59%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 3.00 to 0.54 — on chances, Basel could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Basel and 1.50 for Lugano.
What was the final score of Basel vs Lugano?
Basel 1-2 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Basel vs Lugano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Basel 41%, draw 27%, Lugano 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.