Karlsruher SC 2-2 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 4 Dec 2024

Karlsruher SC
2-2 HT 0-1
Augsburg
📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - DFB Cup – 2024/2025

Karlsruher SC vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 27% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.0
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
8%
7.52
X/2
16%
5.69
X/X
14%
5.38
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.35
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karlsruher SC v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.47
-27% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
– Crosses 13.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Karlsruher SC vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Augsburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
The Meetings
18.04.2011 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Augsburg Augsburg AL2
21.11.2010 Augsburg Augsburg 3-1 HT 1-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
13.03.2010 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL2
18.10.2009 Augsburg Augsburg 1-1 HT 1-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
25.02.2007 Augsburg Augsburg 3-1 HT 2-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
01.10.2006 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 3-2 HT 2-1 Augsburg Augsburg AL2

Karlsruher SC 2-2 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC
2-2
AWAY Augsburg
2.04 xG 1.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
461 Passes 567
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 30
30 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC and Augsburg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Augsburg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Karlsruher SC had 47% of the ball to Augsburg's 53%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 2.04 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Augsburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Karlsruher SC and 1.67 for Augsburg.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Augsburg?

Karlsruher SC 2-2 Augsburg in the Germany - DFB Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC 30%, draw 29%, Augsburg 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Augsburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Augsburg) ✓ Over 2.5
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