RB Leipzig 3-0 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
7.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.44
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
13%
6.09
X/2
9%
7.24
X/X
10%
6.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
27.0
2/2
16%
4.39
2/X
6%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.2pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
2.09/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.41
+26% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
14.6 Crosses 18.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.58 xG 1.33
57% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
471 Passes 340
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 HT 0-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
13.01.2024 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
03.06.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-0 HT 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AFK
25.02.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1 HT 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
03.09.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 HT 2-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
20.03.2022 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig
3-0
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.81 xG 0.39
36% Ball Possession 64%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 9
262 Passes 531
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig ran out comfortable winners over Eintracht Frankfurt 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, RB Leipzig had 36% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 64%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.81 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RB Leipzig and 1.33 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

RB Leipzig 3-0 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - DFB Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig 41%, draw 26%, Eintracht Frankfurt 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFK More Germany - DFB Cup
4 Dec 2024
20:00 Köln vs Hertha Berlin Analysis →
20:00 Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim Analysis →
22:45 Karlsruher SC vs Augsburg Analysis →