Köln vs Hertha Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Köln v Hertha Berlin — Team-Based Signals
Köln vs Hertha Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-2
HT 3-2
Hertha Berlin
AL1
2-0
HT 1-0
Köln
AL1
1-3
HT 0-2
Köln
AL1
3-1
HT 1-1
Hertha Berlin
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Köln
AL1
Köln 2-1 Hertha Berlin — Actual Match Statistics
Köln nicked a narrow win over Hertha Berlin 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Köln as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Köln had 61% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 39%, shots finished 28-8, expected goals 2.41 to 1.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Köln had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Köln and 1.00 for Hertha Berlin.
What was the final score of Köln vs Hertha Berlin?
Köln 2-1 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - DFB Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Köln vs Hertha Berlin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Köln 46%, draw 23%, Hertha Berlin 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.