Wolfsburg 3-0 Hoffenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.64
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.95
X/1
16%
4.98
X/2
8%
9.5
X/X
13%
5.97
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
13%
6.59
2/X
8%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 28%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.02/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.67
-48% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.0 Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hoffenheim
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.26 xG 1.53
49% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
335 Passes 340
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-2 HT 0-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
02.09.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 3-1 HT 1-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
13.05.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
06.01.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim HAZ
12.11.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-2 HT 1-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
19.02.2022 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg
3-0
AWAY Hoffenheim
2.31 xG 0.55
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
349 Passes 463
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg swept aside Hoffenheim 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wolfsburg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wolfsburg had 44% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 56%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.31 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Wolfsburg and 1.83 for Hoffenheim.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim?

Wolfsburg 3-0 Hoffenheim in the Germany - DFB Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 45%, draw 26%, Hoffenheim 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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