Korona Kielce 1-0 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.68
Over 2.5
54%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 39%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.94/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.52
-26% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.65 xG 1.02
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
233 Passes 345
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-1 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
01.04.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 3-1 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
22.09.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-1 HT 1-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
27.05.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-3 HT 0-2 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
12.11.2022 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-1 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
26.04.2022 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-2 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
1-0
AWAY Widzew Lodz
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korona Kielce edged past Widzew Lodz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Korona Kielce made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Korona Kielce had 38% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 62%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Korona Kielce had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Korona Kielce and 1.00 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz?

Korona Kielce 1-0 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 34%, draw 28%, Widzew Lodz 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POLK More Poland - Cup
4 Dec 2024
17:00 Unia Skierniewice vs Ruch Chorzow Analysis →
23:00 Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin Analysis →