HNK Cibalia 1-0 Radnik Sesvete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 4 Dec 2025

📅04/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.2pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +25%
1.58/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.76
+25% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +56%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Cibalia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.09.2025 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 0-0 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
17.04.2025 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 1-2 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
30.11.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
18.09.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-1 HT 1-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
23.05.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-1 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
08.03.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 4-0 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
1-0
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Radnik Sesvete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia edged past Radnik Sesvete 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 29%) promised a tight game; HNK Cibalia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 47% of the ball to Radnik Sesvete's 53%, shots finished 9-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnik Sesvete led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for HNK Cibalia and 1.50 for Radnik Sesvete.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Radnik Sesvete?

HNK Cibalia 1-0 Radnik Sesvete in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Radnik Sesvete?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 38%, draw 33%, Radnik Sesvete 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Cibalia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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