İran 2-1 Burkina Faso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Jan 2024

İran
2-1 HT 1-1
Burkina Faso
📅05/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

İran vs Burkina Faso Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.21
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 27% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-2.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.2pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İran v Burkina Faso — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İran EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Burkina Faso EU Bookmakers 19%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
3.65/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.12/1.00
+82% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -88% / +91%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH İran vs Burkina Faso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İran squeezed past Burkina Faso 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İran as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of İran vs Burkina Faso?

İran 2-1 Burkina Faso in the Friendlies on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İran vs Burkina Faso?

Before kick-off our model rated a İran win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split İran 59%, draw 22%, Burkina Faso 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İran) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İran) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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