Endonezya 1-2 Libya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Jan 2024

📅05/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
38%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.9
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
38%
Away Win
48%
-9.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Endonezya EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Libya EU Bookmakers 52%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
307 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Endonezya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Libya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.01.2024 Endonezya Endonezya 0-4 HT 0-1 Libya Libya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Endonezya
1-2
AWAY Libya
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Endonezya vs Libya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libya nicked a narrow win over Endonezya 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Libya found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Endonezya had 61% of the ball to Libya's 39%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Endonezya vs Libya?

Endonezya 1-2 Libya in the Friendlies on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Endonezya vs Libya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Endonezya 33%, draw 29%, Libya 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libya) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Libya) ✗ Under 2.5
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