Katar vs Ürdün Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Katar v Ürdün — Team-Based Signals
Katar 1-2 Ürdün — Actual Match Statistics
Ürdün nicked a narrow win over Katar 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Katar at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Katar had 53% of the ball to Ürdün's 47%, shots finished 4-17, expected goals 1.12 to 2.81 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ürdün's control.
What was the final score of Katar vs Ürdün?
Katar 1-2 Ürdün in the Friendlies on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Katar vs Ürdün?
Before kick-off our model rated a Katar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Katar 45%, draw 28%, Ürdün 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.