Cartagena vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cartagena v Leganes — Team-Based Signals
Cartagena vs Leganes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cartagena 1-2 Leganes — Actual Match Statistics
Leganes edged past Cartagena 2-1 on their travels. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leganes as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, Leganes saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.45 to 2.78 — on chances created, Leganes won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leganes led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Cartagena against 1.17 for Leganes.
Cartagena vs Leganes Result & Final Score
Cartagena 1 - 2 Leganes in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cartagena vs Leganes Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 23%, draw 30%, Leganes 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leganes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.