Elche 4-0 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 5 Jan 2025

Elche
4 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Las Palmas
📅05/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.75
Over
45%
1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.87
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.72
2-3
48%
1.74
4-5
19%
4.03
6+
4%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.77
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
17%
4.35
X/2
11%
7.5
X/X
18%
4.28
2/1
3%
28.0
2/2
14%
5.95
2/X
5%
14.6
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Elche The Market 51%
Signal
AWAY Las Palmas The Market 28%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.43 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.99
1.09 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.41
Bad Attack Strength Bad
Bad Defense Strength Bad
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
10 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Las Palmas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.99 xG 1.31
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
244 Passes 362
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.06.2020 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 1-1 Elche Elche İS2
15.12.2019 Elche Elche 2-3 HT 2-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
31.03.2019 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-1 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
10.11.2018 Elche Elche 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
02.02.2013 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-0 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
01.09.2012 Elche Elche 3-1 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
4 - 0
AWAY Las Palmas
1.32 xG 0.31
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
436 Passes 365
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Elche vs Las Palmas
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Elche dismantled Las Palmas 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elche as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Elche had 53% of the ball to Las Palmas's 47%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.32 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elche had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Elche and 0.83 for Las Palmas.

Elche vs Las Palmas Result & Final Score

Elche 4 - 0 Las Palmas in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Elche vs Las Palmas Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Elche 45%, draw 28%, Las Palmas 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elche) ✗ Under 2.5
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