Racing Santander vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Racing Santander v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals
Racing Santander vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Racing Santander 2-3 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics
Celta Vigo squeezed past Racing Santander 3-2 on the road. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celta Vigo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came home.
Under the surface, Racing Santander had 34% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 66%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.57 to 1.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Celta Vigo's control.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Santander had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Racing Santander and 1.33 for Celta Vigo.
Racing Santander vs Celta Vigo Result & Final Score
Racing Santander 2 - 3 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Racing Santander vs Celta Vigo Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 22%, draw 25%, Celta Vigo 53%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.