Ourense CF vs Valladolid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Ourense CF v Valladolid — Team-Based Signals
Ourense CF 3-2 Valladolid — Actual Match Statistics
Ourense CF squeezed past Valladolid 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
A gentle 54% lean on Valladolid didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 49%.
By the numbers, Ourense CF had 50% of the ball to Valladolid's 50%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.61 to 1.14 — by the quality of chances, Valladolid deserved more.
Ourense CF vs Valladolid Result & Final Score
Ourense CF 3 - 2 Valladolid in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Ourense CF vs Valladolid Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 19%, draw 27%, Valladolid 54%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.