Ümraniyespor 0-0 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.95
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
4.05
6+ Goals
9%
18.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.03
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
12%
5.55
X/2
11%
5.18
X/X
10%
4.47
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
17%
3.65
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.27/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.03
+17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
17.7 Crosses 17.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 1.77
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
277 Passes 292
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
20.12.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
13.02.2022 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 3-3 HT 2-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
14.09.2021 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-2 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
18.07.2020 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 4-1 HT 2-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
28.12.2019 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-2 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
0-0
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
0.91 xG 0.79
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
251 Passes 360
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ümraniyespor and Erzurumspor FK played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 43% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 57%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.91 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ümraniyespor and 1.67 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Ümraniyespor 0-0 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 39%, draw 27%, Erzurumspor FK 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ümraniyespor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
5 Jan 2025
13:30 Bandırmaspor vs Manisa FK Analysis →
16:00 İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor Analysis →
19:00 Adanaspor vs Amed SK Analysis →