Bandırmaspor 2-3 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.1
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.76
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
15%
4.46
X/2
8%
7.43
X/X
11%
4.51
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
15%
5.66
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.6pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -23%
1.09/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.49
-10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
20.5 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Manisa FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.48 xG 0.96
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
200 Passes 391
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
12.11.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-2 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
12.04.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
13.11.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
17.02.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
18.09.2021 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-3 HT 0-2 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
2-3
AWAY Manisa FK
2.44 xG 1.02
59% Ball Possession 41%
29 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 1
330 Passes 213
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
52 Box Touches 14
33 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK edged past Bandırmaspor 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bandırmaspor at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 59% of the ball to Manisa FK's 41%, shots finished 29-7, expected goals 2.44 to 1.02 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bandırmaspor.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bandırmaspor and 0.50 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Manisa FK?

Bandırmaspor 2-3 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 47%, draw 24%, Manisa FK 29%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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