Galatasaray 4-1 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super Cup, 5 Jan 2026

📅05/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.75
6+ Goals
10%
7.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.95
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
14%
4.32
X/2
12%
11.2
X/X
14%
6.61
2/1
8%
19.95
2/2
9%
8.28
2/X
7%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.8pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.3pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 22%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+3% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
445 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Trabzonspor
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.05 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
300 Passes 240
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2025 Galatasaray Galatasaray 0-0 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
14.05.2025 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-0 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TÜK
10.05.2025 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
16.12.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-3 HT 2-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
21.01.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-5 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
19.08.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-0 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
4-1
AWAY Trabzonspor
2.68 xG 1.20
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
490 Passes 257
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray cruised past Trabzonspor 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Galatasaray had 64% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 36%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.68 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Galatasaray and 0.67 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Trabzonspor?

Galatasaray 4-1 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Super Cup on 05/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 47%, draw 27%, Trabzonspor 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ BTTS Yes
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