Guanacasteca 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 5 Feb 2025

📅05/02/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
47%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+5.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-5.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.8pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 56%
+9% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.17/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.99
-2% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
01.08.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 5-0 HT 3-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca CONOAK
25.07.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
29.04.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-1 HT 3-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
25.02.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
02.10.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-0 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guanacasteca
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guanacasteca beat Deportivo Saprissa 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Saprissa at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Guanacasteca had 34% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 66%, shots finished 7-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Guanacasteca and 2.67 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Guanacasteca 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 27%, draw 27%, Deportivo Saprissa 47%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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