Real Betis 0-5 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 5 Feb 2026

Real Betis
0-5 HT 0-3
Atletico Madrid
📅05/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Spain - Copa del Rey – 2025/2026

Real Betis vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.02
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.55
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
11%
7.29
X/2
11%
5.07
X/X
12%
5.11
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
25%
2.86
2/X
6%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.55 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Betis v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 49%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.50/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.67
+62% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 83%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
20.6 Crosses 11.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 0.1

Real Betis vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.97 xG 1.86
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
446 Passes 399
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.10.2025 Real Betis Real Betis 0-2 HT 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
18.05.2025 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-1 HT 2-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
27.10.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
03.03.2024 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
20.08.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
02.04.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1

Real Betis 0-5 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
0-5
AWAY Atletico Madrid
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
423 Passes 610
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Atletico Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid swept aside Real Betis 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Betis had 42% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 58%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Betis and 1.50 for Atletico Madrid.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Atletico Madrid?

Real Betis 0-5 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 29%, draw 25%, Atletico Madrid 46%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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