Atletico Madrid 4-1 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 18 May 2025

Atletico Madrid
4-1 HT 2-0
Real Betis
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Madrid v Real Betis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +23%
1.75/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.73
+17% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +20%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
469 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.4 Crosses 13.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Betis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.56 xG 1.05
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
376 Passes 440
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
03.03.2024 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
20.08.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
02.04.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
23.10.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
06.03.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-3 HT 1-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1

Atletico Madrid 4-1 Real Betis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid
4-1
AWAY Real Betis
4.86 xG 0.93
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
404 Passes 527
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
46 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid ran out comfortable winners over Real Betis 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid had 45% of the ball to Real Betis's 55%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 4.86 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Madrid and 0.67 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis?

Atletico Madrid 4-1 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 51%, draw 25%, Real Betis 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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