Darlington 1883 4-0 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.5pp
31%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 54%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.02/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.00
-18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
18.11.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 2-0 HT 2-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 FAK
15.08.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 4-0 HT 2-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
4-0
AWAY Scunthorpe United
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 cruised past Scunthorpe United 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Scunthorpe United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 42% of the ball to Scunthorpe United's 58%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Scunthorpe United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Darlington 1883 and 3.00 for Scunthorpe United.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Scunthorpe United?

Darlington 1883 4-0 Scunthorpe United in the England - Conference on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 22%, draw 31%, Scunthorpe United 47%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
5 Mar 2024
22:45 Maidstone United vs Bath City Analysis →
22:45 Spennymoor Town vs Alfreton Town Analysis →
22:45 Peterborough Sports vs Hereford FC Analysis →
22:45 Banbury United vs Rushall Olympic Analysis →
22:45 Chippenham Town vs Weston-super-Mare Analysis →
22:45 Hampton & Richmond vs Eastbourne Borough Analysis →