Warrington Town 0-3 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.07
Over Pick
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.97
2-3
39%
1.84
4-5
28%
3.12
6+
11%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 24%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.02/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.89
-44% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warrington Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Southport
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
05.08.2023 Southport Southport 0-4 HT 0-1 Warrington Town Warrington Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warrington Town
0-3
AWAY Southport
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Warrington Town vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southport cruised past Warrington Town 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Warrington Town at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Warrington Town had 59% of the ball to Southport's 41%, shots finished 22-5.

What was the final score of Warrington Town vs Southport?

Warrington Town 0-3 Southport in the England - Conference on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrington Town vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warrington Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Warrington Town 51%, draw 23%, Southport 26%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Warrington Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Warrington Town) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
5 Mar 2024
22:45 Maidstone United vs Bath City Analysis →
22:45 Spennymoor Town vs Alfreton Town Analysis →
22:45 Peterborough Sports vs Hereford FC Analysis →
22:45 Banbury United vs Rushall Olympic Analysis →
22:45 Chippenham Town vs Weston-super-Mare Analysis →
22:45 Hampton & Richmond vs Eastbourne Borough Analysis →