Chippa United 0-1 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 28% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-8.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.1pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippa United EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 62%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.94/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.92
-26% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +2%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
240 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
18.3 Crosses 20.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippa United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.67 xG 1.63
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
196 Passes 376
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.09.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-1 HT 1-1 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
08.05.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-0 HT 2-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
04.05.2024 Chippa United Chippa United 1-3 HT 0-2 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAF8K
15.08.2023 Chippa United Chippa United 1-1 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
08.04.2023 Chippa United Chippa United 0-2 HT 0-2 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
14.08.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-1 HT 0-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippa United
0-1
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.17 xG 1.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
236 Passes 318
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
5 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Chippa United vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates nicked a narrow win over Chippa United 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chippa United had 43% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 57%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.17 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chippa United and 1.67 for Orlando Pirates.

What was the final score of Chippa United vs Orlando Pirates?

Chippa United 0-1 Orlando Pirates in the South Afrika - Premier League on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippa United vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chippa United 26%, draw 25%, Orlando Pirates 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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