Auda 1-2 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
51%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+9.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
51%
Away Win
63%
-12.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 67%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
0.99/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/1.01
+1% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
220 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 78%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.4
9.6 Crosses 24.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Rigas Skola
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.85 xG 2.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
345 Passes 368
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 1-2 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
21.06.2024 Auda Auda 1-3 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
01.05.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-1 HT 1-1 Auda Auda LET
08.03.2024 Auda Auda 1-2 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
07.10.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-0 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
23.07.2023 Auda Auda 2-5 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
1-2
AWAY Rigas Skola
1.65 xG 0.66
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
282 Passes 423
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Auda vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola edged past Auda 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Auda had 43% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 57%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.65 to 0.66 — on chances, Auda could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Auda and 2.67 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of Auda vs Rigas Skola?

Auda 1-2 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Auda 25%, draw 24%, Rigas Skola 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ BTTS Yes
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