Benfica U23 1-0 Famalicao U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.67/2.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.83
+6% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +83%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Famalicao U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.01.2025 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 3-1 HT 2-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
16.04.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-1 HT 1-0 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
13.02.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 3-2 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
1-0
AWAY Famalicao U23
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 2
10 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Famalicao U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 edged past Famalicao U23 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Benfica U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 53% of the ball to Famalicao U23's 47%, shots finished 14-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Benfica U23 and 2.33 for Famalicao U23.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Benfica U23 1-0 Famalicao U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 38%, draw 26%, Famalicao U23 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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