Universidad Chile 1-2 Palestino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 5 Mar 2026

📅05/03/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.74
Over 2.5
54%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.77
6+ Goals
11%
17.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.77 — our 23% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
57%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.5pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Palestino EU Bookmakers 21%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.45/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.79
+26% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -69%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
7.0 Crosses 22.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Palestino
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 0.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 Passes 276
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.02.2026 Palestino Palestino 0-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
13.10.2025 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-1 HT 2-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
27.04.2025 Palestino Palestino 2-3 HT 0-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
15.09.2024 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
21.04.2024 Palestino Palestino 2-2 HT 1-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
23.07.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-1 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
1-2
AWAY Palestino
1.11 xG 1.05
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
408 Passes 168
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Universidad Chile vs Palestino
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Palestino edged past Universidad Chile 2-1 away from home in the Copa Sudamericana on 5 Mar 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 66% of the ball to Palestino's 34%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.11 to 1.05.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Universidad Chile and 1.00 for Palestino.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs Palestino?

Universidad Chile 1-2 Palestino in the Copa Sudamericana on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs Palestino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 60%, draw 22%, Palestino 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Universidad Chile) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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